[One interesting aspect is that amidst all the cacophonous din regarding resurgence of the Congress, and thereby national parties at the cost of the regional ones, the combined vote share of the top two, by far the largest, "national" parties has actually fallen from 48.9 to 47.4% by 1.5% points. And they together polled less than half the votes cast.Till 7, the Congress used to poll around 45%. (Actually the downfall came in 67, followed by a temporary resurgence post-split in 71. Then the much sharper downturn in 77 inaugurating a declining curve, with some fluctuations.) That gives us a rough idea about the extent of "resurgence".In fact, these figures appear to have been further updated. As per the latest figures provided by the EC (Ref. <http://eci.nic.in/results/frmPercentVotesPartyWiseChart.aspx>):INC - 27.31, BJP - 17.88, CPIM - 7.22, BSP - 5.78, NCP - 1.90, CPI - 1.62, RJD - 1.17 and Others - 37.12.So, Cong. + BJP = 45.19%.In West Bengal (Ref. <http://eci.nic.in/results/frmPercentVotesPartyWiseChart.aspx>):Trinamool Congress - 32.46, CPIM - 32.05, Congress - 12.76, BJP - 6.31, RSP - 3.98, CPI - 3.75 ,FB - 2.88So not only the CPIM has fallen behind the Trinammool, the combined vote share of the LF is 42.66 as against Trinamool + Congess 46.22. The SUCI, in alliance with the Trinammool, has wrested one seat from the RSP.The seatwise position of the parties (Ref.: <http://eci.nic.in/results/frmPartywiseChart.aspx>):Trinamool - 19, CPIM - 9, Congress - 6, RSP/CPI/FB - 2 each (6), SUCI -1, BJP -1.]
From: Ravinder Singh <email@example.com>
Date: Thu, May 21, 2009 at 9:21 AM
Congress got 52% more Votes than BJP
INC won 90 more seats - 206 compared to 116 seats for BJP.
Congress vote share up 2% to 28.6%, BJP down 3.5% to 18.8%
28.6 / 18.8 = + 52%
Modi loses vote share by 0.9%
Congress Leads BJP By 10% Across Country
TIMES INSIGHT GROUP May18, 2009
With vote-share figures coming in on Sunday, there are several dramatic stories to tell. One of them may not appear as dramatic but has high political significance. In Gujarat, the BJP's vote share has declined since 2004 by 0.9%, while the Congress too has lost 0.5%, explaining why results were pretty much the same.
But in the status quo lies a major loss of face for Narendra Modi. Unlike in 2004, this time Modi assumed the role of one of the lead campaigners for BJP, was touted as a dynamo of development and projected as the party's prime ministerial aspirant for the next Lok Sabha polls. Considering his top billing, the fact that under him the party actually lost vote share in his state shows up the limits of his appeal.
Overall, the tally of seats chalked up by the major players in India's political theatre tells only part of the story of the huge changes that have taken place over the last five years. It does not reveal, for instance, that the Congress has gained over 2% in vote share to reach 28.6%, while the BJP has dropped almost 3.5% to reach 18.8%. In other words, the gap between the big two, which was wafer thin till 1999 has now reached almost 10%.
A closer look at the vote shares in some major states reveals even more startling trends. In Uttar Pradesh, for example, the Congress has hiked its vote share from a mere 12% last time to 18.3% now. In the process, it has overtaken the BJP in the state, which has slid from 22.2% to 17.5%. Again, while the SP has retained its numero uno status in terms of seats, it has actually lost 3.4% in vote share, while the BSP has gained 2.7%, with the result that it now has 27.4% to the SP's 23.3% — a sizeable lead in a state as fragmented as UP.
The UPA can thank Raj Thackeray's MNS in Maharashtra and Praja Rajyam in Andhra Pradesh for cutting into opposition's vote share.
NUMBERS TELL A STORY
Congress vote share up 2% to 28.6%, BJP down 3.5% to 18.8%
BJP share down 0.9% from 2004 to 46.5%, Cong also down 0.5% to 43.4%
Chiranjeevi's Praja Rajyam gets 16% vote, helps Cong survive 2.6% loss
Left loses 7.5%, TMC up 10.2%
["CPM alone lost 5.5% [point] in vote share, dropping from 38.6% to 33.1%, and its allies in the Left also shed 2%, so that the front's combined vote share came down from 50.8% last time to 43.3% this time."]
Cong up 6.3% in to 18.3%, BJP drops 4.7% to 17.5%; BSP gains 2.7% to 27.4%, SP loses 3.4% to fall to 23.3%
Lalu suffers 11.4% fall, Cong up 6.2%
BJP down 12.4%, Cong up 5.8%
MNS picks up 4% overall, and 21% in Mumbai. Seriously dents Sena-BJP
Data as on : May 21 2009 11:25PM
Party Winners/No of Seats Party Type Bahujan Samaj Party 21 National Bharatiya Janata Party 116 National Communist Party of India 4 National Communist Party of India (Marxist) 16 National Indian National Congress 206 National Nationalist Congress Party 9 National Rashtriya Janata Dal 4 National All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam 9 State All India Forward Bloc 2 State All India Trinamool Congress 19 State Asom Gana Parishad 1 State Assam United Democratic Front 1 State Biju Janata Dal 14 State Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam 18 State Jammu & Kashmir National Conference 3 State Janata Dal (Secular) 3 State Janata Dal (United) 20 State Jharkhand Mukti Morcha 2 State Kerala Congress (M) 1 State Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam 1 State Muslim League Kerala State Committee 2 State Nagaland Peoples Front 1 State Revolutionary Socialist Party 2 State Samajwadi Party 23 State Shiromani Akali Dal 4 State Shivsena 11 State Sikkim Democratic Front 1 State Telangana Rashtra Samithi 2 State Telugu Desam 6 State All India Majlis-E-Ittehadul Muslimeen 1 UnRecognized Bahujan Vikas Aaghadi 1 UnRecognized Bodaland Peoples Front 1 UnRecognized Haryana Janhit Congress (BL) 1 UnRecognized Jharkhand Vikas Morcha (Prajatantrik) 1 UnRecognized Rashtriya Lok Dal 5 UnRecognized Swabhimani Paksha 1 UnRecognized Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katch 1 UnRecognized Independent 9 Independents
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Friday, May 22, 2009
Re: [Bahujan-forum] 15th Lok Sabha Election: Some Snippets
On Fri, May 22, 2009 at 12:28 AM, Sukla Sen <email@example.com> wrote: